Form Preview: Wentworth Park Friday Night
The Greyhound Recorder’s Adam Dobbin and Sky's Tim Newbold take a look at Friday night’s Wentworth Park card, featuring 3 Group 1 blockbusters.
24 January 2020
The Greyhound Recorder’s Adam Dobbin and Sky Racing’s Tim Newbold take a look at Friday night’s Wentworth Park card, featuring three Group 1s – the Paws Of Thunder, National Derby and National Futurity.
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Race 1 (520m) – 6.57pm
AD: Not sure about you Tim but I found the first the toughest of the night. Ended up going with TOOKEY KEEPING (2) from the nice draw. He flew around his home track Dubbo on Sunday and will be all the better for his two previous Wenty runs, finishing in the minors. WALLBANGER (3) is a smart Victorian that will be better for his Derby heat run last week and I wouldn’t be surprised if LANMOR CUTIE (6) runs a race at some odds.
TN: I’m seeing it a little differently Adam, found it one of the better betting races of the night. Confident LANMORE CUTIE (6) will run a big race at great odds. She’s been crying out for a wide draw and gets it here. She’s got good speed and just needs to dodge the five early. WALLBANGER (3) is the danger. His Wenty debut last week was full of merit. I’m going to risk TOOKEY KEEPING (2) at the short odds.
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Race 2 (520m) – 7.19pm
AD: Race for the greybeards where I’m more confident as to who’ll run second than the winner. That being BAD RONNIE (3)! Has finished second in town on 20 occasions with just three wins – he just loves a second. I’ve got ZIPPING POTTER (4) on top; back from a little break and is reportedly going fantastic in trials for his return. Expecting HIT RECORD (6) to run a race too. His three runs since coming back from WA have been very good … worth including at some odds.
TN: You’re right about Ronnie! If you’re looking to make a small profit on the race, the smart play is to simply back BAD RONNIE (3) a place. Around $2 is freely available which is an acceptable price for a greyhound who has been in the money in 26 of 35 starts at WPK and as you’ve said, finished runner-up 20 times. As a winning chance, hard to go past the ever-reliable BLABBA MOUTH (5). Last start winner in slick time at the track and been freshened since. ZIPPING POTTER (4) can storm over the top if the leaders tangle up.
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Race 3 The Collerson (520m) – 7.34pm
AD: The Collerson – a tribute to revered industry scribe Jeff Collerson. Gone for a bit of value here with Victorian SEAL THE DEAL (3) to upstage Million Dollar Chase hero GOOD ODDS HARADA (8). Seal The Deal has tremendous ability, only if he’d show it more often! You can set your watch by ASTON DUKE (5), he’ll run his usual honest race and I thought FERNANDO’S RIOT (2) was boxed to run a race as well. No doubt the pink’s the one to beat. Agree?
TN: Got to agree Adam. Other than SEAL THE DEAL (3), ASTON DUKE (5) and GOOD ODDS HARADA (8), the race is devoid of any genuine speed, so I see Good Odds Harada getting the perfect run across to lead or be close enough to it before building the revs up down the back straight. Had excuses last week and confident he’ll bounce back. His brother GOOD ODDS BUDDY (1) can improve sharply from the gun draw and is the value in the race. ASTON DUKE (5) is a seasoned campaigner, he’s the value.
Race 4 (520m) – 7.57pm
AD: Just the six dogs go around here and it does look made to order for SQUIGGLE KEEPING (1) from the inside. Winner of nine from 19 and has been mixing it in a lot better company recently. I’m expecting improvement from SMOKIN’ CINDY (4). There was a bit of money for her last week so look for a forward performance from her. FULL BLOSSOM (8) is a sneaky chance at odds as well. Don’t worry, she’s going better than her form on paper would have you think.
TN: SQUIGGLE KEEPING (1) looks the winner and I’ve got him on top but I can’t get involved at the skinny price. Ticks a lot of boxes and hoping the bookies take a few risks and get him out to around the $2 mark but doubtful. I thought the promising FORNERS FLAME (5) could easily bounce back after failing in a Futurity heat last week. She’s suited with little speed and a vacant alley on her outer. I agree that SMOKIN’ CINDY (4) could be the ‘knockout’. Also noticed the money for her at a big price last week and she’s in astute hands.
Race 5 Group 1 National Futurity Final (520m) – 8.19pm
AD: Tipping an all the way ZIPPING VEYRON (4) win, Tim. Like the draw for her and if she steps cleanly I can’t see her being led … boy has she got some toe! I’m expecting a big run from WILD FLYER (5) despite the draw. She’s a star in the making and is improving each time she goes around. I could be wrong, but the red has me worried for ASTON MAEVE (1). She oozes ability and the inside box in a high pressure race like this after just the four starts? Well, we’ll see.
TN: It’s taken five races but we’re finally on the same page. Love the preparation ZIPPING VEYRON (4) has had for this series. Gritty winner three starts ago, then had no luck at all before running her rivals into the ground last week. She’s faultless at the jump and perfectly drawn. Confident she leads and can pinch it. Kennelmate ASTONE MAEVE (1) the danger. Outstanding heat win in flying time at the first ‘500’ of her life. Could be anything! The best roughies are RUN BABA RUN (2) and SNEAKY MARQUEE (3).
Race 6 Group 1 National Derby Final (520m) – 8.42pm
AD: The scratchings of Simon Told Helen and Aston Sapporo has turned the race on its head. I’m not warm and fuzzy about the price we’ll be asked to take now but HARD STYLE RICO (5) is the tip. Was just awesome last week and every chance he’ll be even better tonight. Would love to see HERE COMES JOE (1) run a race and think he will for a long way – the two scratchings help him more than any other runner. EBBY INFRARED (3) is my tip at odds. Doesn’t know how to run a bad race.
TN: Disappointed we won’t get to see Simon Told Helen but sure he’ll be back for redemption in the Easter Egg. With the scratchings it’s hard to look anywhere but HARD STYLE RICO (5); he’s an absolute weapon and clearly the one to beat. No doubt the fairytale story is HERE COMES JOE (1) – he’s a major player from the cherry with the speed to lead, exactly where you want to be in big races. Agree that EBBY INFRARED (3) comes into the race now as well.
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Race 7 Group 2 Summer Distance Plate (720m) – 9.04pm
AD: Could be a repeat of Brisbane where TRUE DETECTIVE (5) took a heap of benefit from his debut heat run before taking out the final. I have him leading tonight and getting away with it. BLAZING CARTIER (1) will need to do everything right from the red but I’m expecting a big run from her. I’m a gold member in the BLUE MOON RISING (7) fan club, would love to see him win but box seven does make it a task I think. JUST TERMS (2) is a great chance but way too short for mine. Who doesn’t love a good staying race?
TN: Always popular betting affairs Adam and this’ll be no different. Struggling to get a real grip on the race, I keep coming back to the iron-dog BLUE MOON RISING (7). You know what you’ll get with him. Roll forward, settle on speed and keep giving. He’s as honest as the day is long. Agree, TRUE DETECTIVE (5) will be the improver. Another front-running stayer who makes his own luck. JUST TERMS (2) is a deserved favourite but totally agree poison odds at the early quote in my opinion.
Race 8 Group 1 Paws Of Thunder Final (520m) – 9.50pm
AD: There’s plenty of star power on show tonight but no question as to who the big dog is. FERAL FRANKY (1). I’ll be cheering him on just like everyone else but at the value tipping WESTERN ENVOY (3). Can see the Victorian leading and I think it’s sometimes understated just how classy a dog the Melbourne Cup runner-up is. Value runners START A RIOT (4) and CAISHEN (7) – both more than capable of pinging the lids and pinching it out in front. But we’ll all be looking for ‘The Feral’ late.
TN: The rank-and-file punters will flock to The Feral but I’m thinking the bigger players will bet around him at the current price. I’m in his corner, hard not to be after his phenomenal heat win. Perfectly drawn, just needs a ‘green light’ or two down the back straight and the leaders better look out. KING CRATOS (8) is the value – has a ripping draw being boxed outside speedy railers. WESTERN ENVOY (3) is flying and CAISHEN (7) is the best 20/1 pop I’ve seen in a Group 1 for a while.
Race 9 (520m) – 10.12pm
AD: HOORAY ZIPPER (6) was an enormous run when finishing third to Hard Style Rico in his Derby heat last week, just as big as his Gosford Cup run. He’s the tip but can’t put a foot wrong from box six. FIRE LEGEND (3) got stopped in his tracks when third in his Derby heat last week and that pair go into tonight with clearly the best form lines. You got it a race in two as well, Tim?
TN: Totally Adam, but super keen on FIRE LEGEND (3). A certainty beat last week. He’s a bit risky at box-rise but has more genuine speed than HOORAY ZIPPER (6) and can pinch a break on him mid-race. There’s no speed on his outside so he should get sufficient room to get mobile in the run to the first corner. HOORAY ZIPPER (6) is a massive talent and will launch late if the breaks go his way at the right time.
Race 10 (520m) – 10.35pm
AD: Can’t go past RUN BY NIGHT (1) off the red … talent with a capital ‘T’ this bloke. Had he drawn the middle I’d be risking him till the cows come home but expect his sheer ability gets him home as he scrapes paint in his races. NANGAR DIVA (6) has rocketed around Wenty in 29.55 and is getting back to some of her better form while at a price MY BRO’S ETHICS (4) has a shout as well in the get out!
TN: The closer is a race in two for mine as well – NANGAR DIVA (6) and RUN BY NIGHT (1). Both capable of running sizzling times and well boxed. I’m with the Diva, outstanding winning at Albion Park two starts ago and unlucky in a Futurity heat last week. Steady beginners on her outer suits, she’ll get room to charge to the front and go for home mid-race. RUN BY NIGHT (1) is a real up and comer. Clearly the danger. SUNBURNT HIGHWAY (8) for the wider multiples.